Market Update - May 2021

Welcome to the May edition of the Market Update

Highlights:

  • Investors extended expectations of accommodative monetary and fiscal policies following signs of a slowdown in the US recovery.

  • US President Biden is believed to be setting a new vaccination goal to have the first dose delivered to 70% of adults by July 4.

  • Europe has enjoyed better than expected economic data and a decline in reported Covid-19 cases recently as countries push ahead with vaccine rollouts.

  • New Zealand halted quarantine-free travel with Australia while New South Wales investigates the origins of the two locally acquired Covid-19 cases.

  • The RBA kept the cash rate on hold at 0.1% as expected and increased its 2021 GDP forecast from 3.50% to 4.75%, with 3.50% growth expected in 2022.

Global economies

Global Covid-19 cases continue to rise with over 150 million cases reported at the start of May, but the race is now on to vaccinate key demographics. The International Monetary Fund revised its projections for GDP growth upwards, with the US expected to grow by 6.4% in 2021 and China by 8.4% over the same period.

US

The United States has fully vaccinated more than 100 million people—including two thirds of all seniors—against the Covid-19 virus, according to the Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, providing further reassurance to markets that the worst of the pandemic is over.

Europe

The Covid-19 situation in Europe is improving as reported cases decline and countries push ahead with vaccine rollouts. According to the World Health Organisation, 5.5% of the European population have contracted Covid-19, while 7.0% have been fully vaccinated—a number which is expected to grow rapidly in coming months.

China

China has made deep inroads with its own vaccination program, which has so far inoculated over 240 million people, predominately with the Chinese-developed Sinopharm and Sinovac vaccines.

Asia Region

India has been devastated by a surge in Covid-19 infections, with over 20 million confirmed cases in early May.

Australia

Treasury’s projections are that nominal economic growth will exceed the nominal interest rate for at least the next decade.

Read the full May market update report  >>

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